Facts & Research

Murder Rates

State and regional murder statistics show no correlation between use of the death penalty and reduced crime.

Overview

The foun­da­tion for the death penal­ty in the U.S. rests on whether it is nec­es­sary as a response to mur­der. About 40 per­cent of the states have end­ed the use of cap­i­tal pun­ish­ment. Of the remain­ing states that retain it, only a few use it on a reg­u­lar basis. The mur­der rates of states with and with­out the death penal­ty are rel­e­vant to whether it is jus­ti­fied. The mur­der rate for the coun­try as a whole over var­i­ous time peri­ods is also a barom­e­ter of whether or not the pub­lic will be in favor of harsh­er pun­ish­ments for crime. Murder rates, which are the result of divid­ing the num­ber of mur­ders by the pop­u­la­tion of a juris­dic­tion, can be more use­ful in com­par­ing states and coun­tries than the absolute num­ber of murders committed.

At Issue

In try­ing to mea­sure whether the use of the death penal­ty has an effect on the lev­el of vio­lent crime, researchers often use mur­der rates and com­pare them with the prac­tice of the death penal­ty, either through the num­ber of exe­cu­tions or death sen­tences. This is prob­lem­at­ic on a nation­al basis because the death penal­ty is not avail­able in many states, and where it is car­ried out, the exe­cu­tions amount to only a tiny per­cent­age of the mur­ders com­mit­ted. Even when com­par­ing states, it is dif­fi­cult to sin­gle out whether the rel­a­tive­ly rare use of the death penal­ty is caus­ing a change in crime or whether the change is attrib­ut­able to oth­er caus­es such as the rate of employ­ment, the qual­i­ty of edu­ca­tion, or many oth­er local variables.

What DPIC Offers

DPIC has col­lect­ed sta­tis­tics pub­lished by the FBI on the mur­der rates in each state for each year, each geo­graph­i­cal region, and for the coun­try as a whole. DPIC deep­ens the analy­sis by not­ing whether each state had the death penal­ty for the time peri­od in ques­tion. Murder rates can eas­i­ly be com­pared with oth­er avail­able data, such as the num­ber of exe­cu­tions, death sen­tences, and the size of death row.


Data Sources:


News & Developments


News

Jun 09, 2023

New AH Datalytics Data Shows Sharp Decline in Murder Rates in 2023

New data from AH Datalytics shows sharp and broad decline” in mur­der rates for 2023. In a recent arti­cle pub­lished in The Atlantic, Jeff Asher (pic­tured), a crime ana­lyst based in New Orleans and co-founder of AH Datalytics, writes that the decline in mur­der rates across the United States is one of the largest annu­al per­cent changes in murder ever…

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News

Oct 22, 2018

Gallup Poll — Fewer than Half of Americans, a New Low, Believe Death Penalty is Applied Fairly

Fewer than half of Americans now believe the death penal­ty is fair­ly applied in the United States, accord­ing to the 2018 annu­al Gallup crime poll of U.S. adults, con­duct­ed October 1 – 10. The 49% of Americans who said they believed the death penal­ty was applied fair­ly” was the low­est Gallup has ever record­ed since it first includ­ed the ques­tion in its crime poll in 2000. The per­cent­age of U.S. adults who said they believe the death penal­ty is unfair­ly applied rose to 45%, the…

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News

Sep 25, 2018

FBI Crime Report Shows Murder Rates Stable in 2017

The FBI Uniform Crime Report for 2017, released by the U.S. Department of Justice, reports that mur­der rates sta­bi­lized across the United States in 2017, decreas­ing mar­gin­al­ly com­pared to adjust­ed homi­cide fig­ures from 2016 but remain­ing above the record lows record­ed ear­li­er in the decade. The ini­tial FBI crime fig­ures for 2017 report 17,284 mur­ders across the United States in 2017, com­pared to 17,413 in 2016, drop­ping the nation­wide mur­der rate from 5.4 murders per…

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