Kelly Siegler
A forensic DNA analyst whose trial testimony helped secure the 2002 conviction and death sentence of Ronald “Jeffery” Prible1 has now disavowed that testimony, adding new weight to Mr. Prible’s long-standing innocence claim in a case marked by serious allegations of prosecutorial misconduct. In an August 28 declaration filed as part of continued efforts to overturn Mr. Prible’s conviction, DNA expert William Watson wrote that developments in forensic science and his own professional opinion would result in different trial testimony today. He also stated that prosecutors “mischaracterized” his findings during both opening and closing arguments, and that the state’s “inflammatory” rhetoric and “scientifically baseless” remarks describing the DNA evidence went well beyond what science, and his own testimony, actually supported.
Mr. Watson earlier raised regrets about his testimony in Mr. Prible’s case in a 2023 interview with The Intercept, telling the outlet his trial answers had been more absolute than science warranted. His new declaration, however, goes further, stating that it is not scientifically possible to determine which of the three DNA samples recovered from the victims were deposited most recently. This fact undermines the sequence of events the prosecution built its case around.
“Jeff Prible has spent nearly half his life on death row for a crime he did not commit…This evidence supports Jeff’s account, from the very beginning, of what happened that night. Put simply: if Jeff were tried today, the State would have no case. We hope the DA and the courts do the right thing and give Jeff Prible his life back.”
Mr. Prible was convicted and sentenced to death for the murders of Steve Herrera and Nilda Tirado in 1999. The couple’s three young children died of smoke inhalation after a fire was set, allegedly to conceal the crime. Mr. Prible had spent time at the couple’s home that evening, making him an early suspect, but investigators found no criminal evidence tying him to the crime except a DNA sample recovered from semen in Ms. Tirado’s mouth. Mr. Prible had told police they had been having an affair and that she had performed oral sex on him hours before the killings. The case against Mr. Prible stalled until Assistant District Attorney Kelly Siegler, a now true-crime television personality, took over prosecution. Ms. Siegler theorized that the DNA evidence reflected a sexual assault carried out moments before Ms. Tirado was shot, a theory that became central to the prosecution’s case. During closing arguments, both Ms. Siegler and her co-counsel offered vivid, forceful characterizations of the DNA evidence to the jury, arguing it left no room for an innocent explanation.
The August 28 filing is not the first challenge to Mr. Prible’s conviction. In 2020, U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison vacated Mr. Prible’s conviction, finding that Ms. Siegler had concealed material information from the defense about her dealings with jailhouse informants — evidence that undercut a key part of the prosecution’s theory. According to testimony that emerged during federal appeals, the main witness was a part of a coordinated group of jailhouse informants who provided information to Ms. Siegler in exchange for relief in their own sentences. Multiple members of the informant network testified that they provided false evidence against Mr. Prible in return for leniency. One of the informants testified that Ms. Siegler herself provided him with detailed information about Mr. Prible’s case. In overturning Mr. Prible’s conviction, Judge Ellison wrote, “[w]ithout question, the prosecution in this case engaged in a pattern of deceptive behavior and active concealment. And the evidence suppressed sufficiently serves to contravert the primary basis for [Mr.] Prible’s conviction.” The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit Court later reinstated Mr. Prible’s conviction on procedural grounds without addressing the substance of Judge Ellison’s findings.
Mr. Prible’s legal team has now asked a trial court and the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals to consider both the previously suppressed informant evidence and Mr. Watson’s recantation together, stating that “[t]his new evidence shows that [Mr.] Prible is actually innocent.” A second DNA expert has backed Mr. Watson’s recantation, noting in a declaration that scientific advancements show the testimony Mr. Watson gave to be, as Mr. Prible’s counsel put it, “wholly unsupportable.” The filing relies on a Texas statute allowing defendants to challenge convictions based on changed scientific understanding. Mr. Prible’s attorneys point to current scientific consensus that sperm can persist in the oral cavity for many hours in a living person, and longer after death, which is directly at odds with assumptions the prosecution presented at trial in 2002.
Liliana Segura and Jordan Smith, A True-Crime Star’s Lurid Claims Sent a Man to Die. Her Key Witness Just Recanted., The Intercept, September 6, 2026.