Murder Rates

Murder Rate of Death Penalty States Compared to Non-Death Penalty States

(Data for each year tak­en from the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports. Murder rates cal­cu­lat­ed by divid­ing the total num­ber of mur­ders by the total pop­u­la­tion in death penal­ty and non-death penal­ty states respec­tive­ly and mul­ti­ply­ing that by 100,000)

* Includes Kansas and New York in the years after they adopt­ed the death penal­ty, 1994 and 1995 respec­tive­ly. New York’s death penal­ty was then declared uncon­sti­tu­tion­al in 2004, after which it is count­ed as a non-death penal­ty state. New Jersey end­ed the death penal­ty in the lat­ter part of 2007 and is count­ed as a non-death penal­ty state from then on. The Delaware Supreme Court found the Delaware death penal­ty statute uncon­sti­tu­tion­al late in 2016 and in ear­ly 2017 made that rul­ing retroac­tive. From 2017 on Delaware is con­sid­ered a non-death penal­ty state. Washington is first count­ed as a non-death penal­ty state in 2018. New Hampshire will be count­ed as a non-death penal­ty state in 2019. In 2020, gover­nor imposed mora­to­ri­um was declared in California, Oregon, and Pennsylvania.
 

The mur­der rate in non-death penal­ty states has remained con­sis­tent­ly low­er than the rate in states with the death penal­ty, and the gap has grown since 1990.
 

Studies Comparing States With the Death Penalty and States Without

Michigan Lawmakers Reaffirm State’s Longstanding Ban on Capital Punishment — In a vote uphold­ing the state’s long­stand­ing abo­li­tion of the death penal­ty, Michigan law­mak­ers refused to sup­port a mea­sure that would have put cap­i­tal pun­ish­ment before state vot­ers in a ref­er­en­dum. The vote fell 18 short of the 2/​3 required for pas­sage. During a lengthy House debate regard­ing the bill, Representative Jack Minor (D‑Flint) told his col­leagues that stud­ies show crime rates are low­er in states with­out the death penal­ty. He not­ed, The death penal­ty’s not a deter­rent. In fact, the fig­ures would sug­gest it’s just the oppo­site.” Other oppo­nents of the mea­sure stat­ed that revenge” would not help vic­tims’ fam­i­lies. Michigan has not had the death penal­ty for 158 years, and vot­ers have not addressed the issue since its abo­li­tion was includ­ed in the 1963 revi­sion of the state con­sti­tu­tion. Michigan is one of 12 states in the U.S. that does not have a death penal­ty. (Michigan Live, March 19, 2004) The state was the first English speak­ing gov­ern­ment in the world to ban the practice.

States Without the Death Penalty Have Better Record on Homicide Rates — A new sur­vey by the New York Times found that states with­out the death penal­ty have low­er homi­cide rates than states with the death penal­ty. The Times reports that ten of the twelve states with­out the death penal­ty have homi­cide rates below the nation­al aver­age, where­as half of the states with the death penal­ty have homi­cide rates above. During the last 20 years, the homi­cide rate in states with the death penal­ty has been 48% — 101% high­er than in states with­out the death penal­ty. I think Michigan made a wise deci­sion 150 years ago,” said the state’s gov­er­nor, John Engler, a Republican, refer­ring to the state’s abo­li­tion of the death penal­ty in 1846. We’re pret­ty proud of the fact that we don’t have the death penal­ty.” (New York Times, 9/​22/​00)

States Without the Death Penalty Fared Better Over Past Decade — In the past ten years, the num­ber of exe­cu­tions in the U.S. has increased while the mur­der rate has declined. Some com­men­ta­tors have main­tained that the mur­der rate has dropped because of the increase in exe­cu­tions (see, e.g., W. Tucker, Yes, the Death Penalty Deters,” Wall St. Journal, June 21, 2002). However, dur­ing this decade the mur­der rate in non-death penal­ty states has remained con­sis­tent­ly low­er than the rate in states with the death penalty.

When com­par­isons are made between states with the death penal­ty and states with­out, the major­i­ty of death penal­ty states show mur­der rates high­er than non-death penal­ty states. The aver­age of mur­der rates per 100,000 pop­u­la­tion in 1999 among death penal­ty states was 5.5, where­as the aver­age of mur­der rates among non-death penal­ty states was only 3.6.

Notes:

  • Populations are from the U.S. Census esti­mates for each year.
  • Murder rates are from the FBI’s Crime in the United States” and are per 100,000 population.
  • The mur­der rate for the region (death penal­ty states or non-death penal­ty states) is the total num­ber of mur­ders in the region divid­ed by the total pop­u­la­tion (and then mul­ti­plied by 100,000)
  • In cal­cu­la­tions that include Kansas and New York, Kansas is count­ed as a death penal­ty state from 1994 and New York from 1996, since New York’s law did not become effec­tive until September, 1995.