A poll of like­ly California vot­ers con­duct­ed joint­ly by The Field Poll and the Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California, Berkeley has found con­tin­u­ing ero­sion of sup­port for the death penal­ty in the state and near-major­i­ty sup­port for Proposition 62, a bal­lot ques­tion to replace the state’s death penal­ty with a sys­tem of life impris­on­ment with­out parole, plus resti­tu­tion. The poll found sig­nif­i­cant vot­er con­fu­sion about a rival bal­lot mea­sure, Proposition 66, that claims to reform” the state’s death penal­ty by pur­port­ed­ly speed­ing up cap­i­tal appeals. A plu­ral­i­ty of vot­ers said they are unde­cid­ed about that bal­lot ques­tion. Although sup­port for both propo­si­tions led oppo­si­tion, nei­ther com­mand­ed a major­i­ty. 48% of like­ly vot­ers say they plan to vote yes on Prop. 62, with 37% plan­ning to vote no and 15% unde­cid­ed. 35% say they plan on vot­ing yes on Prop. 66, with 23% cur­rent­ly oppos­ing, but 42% unde­cid­ed. (Click image to enlarge.) The poll pre­sent­ed like­ly vot­ers with the sum­maries of each ini­tia­tive that will appear on the November bal­lot. It found that sup­port for repeal was strongest among Democrats (63%), lib­er­als (71%), vot­ers under 30 (55%), and vot­ers with no reli­gious pref­er­ence (59%). Latinos were near­ly even­ly divid­ed and con­sti­tut­ed the only racial or eth­nic group in which more vot­ers said they opposed Prop. 62 (43%) than sup­port­ed it (42%). Nearly one-third of African-American vot­ers (32%) report­ed that they were unde­cid­ed. A plu­ral­i­ty of most demo­graph­ic groups was unde­cid­ed about Prop. 66, but sup­port for the mea­sure was high­est among Republicans (42%), con­ser­v­a­tives (45%), and Protestants (41%). The poll also asked vot­ers whether they pre­fer the death penal­ty or life with­out parole for those con­vict­ed of first degree mur­der. A 10-per­cent­age-point major­i­ty (55%-45%) said they pre­fer life with­out parole, con­tin­u­ing a trend of increased sup­port for alter­na­tives to the death penal­ty since the Field Poll first asked the ques­tion in 2009. At that time, a plu­ral­i­ty (44%) pref­ered the death penal­ty. Support for Prop. 62 is polling 6 per­cent­age points high­er than it did for Proposition 34, the bal­lot ini­tia­tive to repeal the death penal­ty that nar­row­ly failed in 2012, at the same time in the elec­tion cycle. A Field Poll of like­ly vot­ers in September 2012 showed 42% in favor of the repeal ini­tia­tive, 45% opposed, and 13% unde­cid­ed. Prop. 34 ulti­mate­ly gar­nered 48% of the vote. The poll of 942 like­ly vot­ers was con­duct­ed online by YouGov September 7 – 13, 2016 and released on September 22.

(M. DiCamillo, DEATH PENALTY REPEAL (PROP. 62) HOLDS NARROW LEAD, BUT IS RECEIVING LESS THAN 50% SUPPORT. MOST VOTERS AREN’T SURE ABOUT PROP. 66, A COMPETING INITIATIVE TO SPEED IMPLEMENTATION OF DEATH SENTENCES,” The Field Poll, September 22, 2016; M. DiCamillo and M. Field, VOTERS CLOSELY DIVIDED ON PROPOSITION 34 TO REPEAL DEATH PENALTY,” The Field Poll, September 25, 2012.) See Public Opinion.

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